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Oblivion, Elysium, After Earth: Which Sci-Fi Blockbuster Will Win the Box Office?

Movies News / Elizabeth Darrell


Oblivion, Elysium, After Earth: Which Sci-Fi Blockbuster Will Win the Box Office?

  • The three biggest Dystopian sci-fi films coming out this summer are Elysium, Oblivion, and After Earth
  • Which film will have the most success at the box office?
  • Which film will have the most critical acclaim?
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This is a great year for original sci-fi films, with Elysium, Oblivion, and After Earth all coming out just months apart. However, which of these original, mostly dystopian sci-fi tales will fare the best at the box office?
Matt Damon in Elysium
It's an interesting question to ask, because all three have high pedigrees in regards to both cast and the filmmakers. All three are studio films, with Elysium and After Earth both coming from Sony and Oblivion coming from Universal. Of course, the release dates will play a big part in the box office - by and large, Oblivion has no competition in April, and it has two weeks of uninterrupted play before Iron Man 3 rolls into theaters and probably steals most of its audience. Elysium, originally scheduled for March, has been moved to August to take better advantage of buzz and avoid clashes with Oblivion and Iron Man 3, and the only movies that it will really be competing with are Percy Jackson and Kick Ass 2, which generally appeal to a different demographic anyway. Then, you have After Earth - smack dab in the middle of summer season, it will have the most outright competition, especially as it's just weeks away from another sci bonanza in Pacific Rim.
Of course, release date is only a small component in overall box office success. Elysium has Neill Blomkamp at its helm, and Matt Damon & Jodie Foster as leads. Just from that alone, you can bet that the film will bring in a huge audience. The general moviegoing audience will go see the film for Damon and Foster, and the sci-fi fans will go see the film for Blomkamp, who has built up a solid following after the acclaim and success of District 9. Also, the trailer was received enthusiastically by almost everyone online, and it looks to have that great combination of spectacle and depth that Blomkamp brought so well to District 9.
Jaden Smith in After Earth
Jaden Smith in After Earth
Oblivion, while it has Tom Cruise, seems like it will do much better overseas than domestically. The reviews have been lukewarm at best, and the director [previously known for Tron Legacy] is known for putting visuals above character development and story. However, Cruise is still a huge name abroad and the film should easily make a profit through international box office.
Out of the three, After Earth seems to be the trickiest to predict. It has M. Night Shyamalan, who is considered box office poison after the epic failure of his last few movies. However, it also has Will Smith, who is a sure fire box office draw. Will the two names cancel each other out? Will the audience's disdain for Shyamalan win out over their desire to see Smith on screen? It all depends on how Sony carries out their marketing campaign building up the release in June. 
Overall, we're predicting Elysium to have the strongest domestic box office and critical acclaim, Oblivion to bring in a huge audience abroad, and After Earth will either be a hit or miss depending on how the film's marketing builds over the next few months. You can catch Oblivion in theaters next week, After Earth on June 7th, and Elysium on August 9th. Let us know which film you think will win at the box office in the comments.
The most anticipated movies of 2013 include Elysium, After Earth, and Oblivion
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